March figures from the Index show a firming of prices year-on-year as lockdowns moved towards loosening and deflationary pressures related to Brexit receded. As hospitality gradually restores full service and government policy regarding public sector debt, taxation and inflation becomes clearer, it is expected that prices will continue to increase month-on-month.
The March edition of the Index shows a return to significant levels of inflation in categories including fruit, meat and breads & cereals. The traditional firming of prices that is seen in the Spring season has also contributed to the upward movement.
Shaun Allen, CEO of Prestige Purchasing, said: “We expect prices to rebound as volumes recover, probably to above 2020 levels as the year progresses. Operators would be well advised to seek price holds from suppliers whilst current inflation levels remain benign. They should also avoid taking a renewal of pre-lockdown supply for granted, as the commercial impacts of the Winter lockdown have been harmful to many supplier balance sheets.”
Andrew Dean, client director for retail at CGA, said: “The return of hospitality is a huge relief for operators, the foodservice sector and consumers alike. However, the sector faces a long road back to profitability, and the signs of inflation will be unwelcome for businesses already facing a host of other challenges. Keeping a close eye on pricing trends and developments and responding nimbly will be crucial to the recovery process over the remainder of 2021.”
For further information contact Leonie-Jade Leigh, CGA client manager at leonie-jade.leigh@cgastrategy.com.
The exclusive Foodservice Price Index is jointly produced by Prestige Purchasing and CGA, using foodservice data drawn from 7.8m transactions per month. It contains myriad insights and information pertinent to the foodservice sector and is essential reading for anyone seeking to keep ahead of price trends and understand why they occur. More information on specific categories is available on a subscription basis.
